Boca Unidos vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GAF
0 - 1
BUC
50%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 0
CFE
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 2
CAC
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUC
29%
27%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
3 - 3
CDN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SOL
3 - 2
CAC
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 0
SOL
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 1
CDN
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TEX
3 - 1
SOL
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CFE
1 - 0
SOL
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |