Boca Unidos vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 2
BUC
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 0
9DJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
PAT
2 - 1
BUC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 3
BUC
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 4
GIM
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CIP
2 - 0
RAS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 1
RAS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 1
BHU
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
0 - 1
PAT
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |