Boca Unidos vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
7
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
LIN
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
BUC
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
UNI
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 2
BUC
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
JAN
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DPR
2 - 1
JAN
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
SAR
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
DPR
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
GIM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |