Torneo Federal B Promotion Play Off Last 16
Global 5-4
Boca Unidos vs 9 de Julio Morteros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 2
BUC
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 1
SOL
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GAF
0 - 1
BUC
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 0
CFE
38%
26%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 2
CAC
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Julio Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 2
BUC
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 0
GYT
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
3 - 0
CCS
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
POL
3 - 1
9DJ
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
9DJ
2 - 1
CAÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |