Boca Juniors II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 0
BOC
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 1
GOC
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
LAN
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
24%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
SAR
60%
23%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |