Boca Juniors II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 2
BOC
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 1
GLP
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 1
BOC
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 0
GOC
75%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
3 - 0
BOC
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
BRC
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
CCS
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOB
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |