Boca Juniors II vs Rosario Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 2
BOC
20%
25%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 0
TEM
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
BOC
22%
22%
55%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAR
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 2
BOC
20%
25%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
ARS
68%
21%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
IND
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HUR
2 - 0
ROC
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
NOB
31%
27%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
ROC
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |