Boca Juniors II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
BOC
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 0
ATR
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 2
BOC
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 3
CAU
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 2
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
RIV
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 2
SAR
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
RIV
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
BAN
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |