Copa de la Superliga Reservas Last 16
Global 1-3
Boca Juniors II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
BOC
22%
26%
53%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALD
1 - 2
BOC
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BOC
5 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOC
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
DYJ
0 - 1
BOC
13%
22%
65%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
BOC
22%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TAL
1 - 1
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
TAL
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |