Boca Juniors II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BOC
4 - 1
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 0
ARS
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2017 |
ALD
1 - 2
IND
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
IND
3 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
NOB
2 - 1
IND
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TAL
1 - 0
IND
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |