Boca Juniors de Cali vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
8º
14
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ORS
0 - 1
BJC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 0
PAT
15%
27%
58%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
BJC
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BJC
0 - 0
REA
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
BJC
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
RSC
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 0
TFC
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 0
RSC
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |