Boca Júnior FC vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
64%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
AMA
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |