Boca Júnior FC vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BOC
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
4 - 1
SDJ
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
4 - 0
SDJ
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 4
AFP
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
6 - 0
ABS
64%
20%
15%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 3
AFP
14%
17%
69%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |