Boavista vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BOA
1 - 1
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SPB
2 - 2
BOA
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 0
BMA
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BOA
1 - 1
EST
62%
24%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 2
BRA
46%
23%
30%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |