Boado vs Espadana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 3
BOA
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 4
TRI
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
MUI
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RAN
3 - 3
BOA
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
MUN
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Espadana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 2
ABO
29%
22%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 2
ESP
52%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 2
LOU
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 3
VIL
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MOL
3 - 1
ESP
70%
17%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |