Boado vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 1
ABO
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
5 - 1
BOA
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
MUI
3 - 0
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 3
RAN
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 4
BOA
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
VID
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ABO
0 - 0
MER
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
MER
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
LOB
62%
20%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |