Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ASH
2 - 1
BNE
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
BNE
4 - 3
MTA
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BSA
0 - 3
BNE
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BNE
2 - 1
MAC
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAP
3 - 3
BNE
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
RUD
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
RUD
0 - 1
SHI
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 2
SHI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
PYU
1 - 3
SHI
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |