Blumenau vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LIT
1 - 0
BLU
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BLU
0 - 3
FFC
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BLU
2 - 0
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +5 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
0 - 2
BLU
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLU
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
MET
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 1
MET
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
MET
3 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
FFC
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |