Blue Jays vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
14º
14º
26
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blue Jays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
0 - 1
GRE
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
BLU
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BLU
0 - 3
ALL
6%
12%
83%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRY
4 - 0
BLU
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 1
BLU
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
5 - 1
PBU
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 4
PBU
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
PBU
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOP
2 - 1
PBU
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |