Blois vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
8º
34
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
3 - 0
BLO
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLO
0 - 2
FCR
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POI
1 - 0
BLO
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
BLO
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STP
1 - 0
BLO
47%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASB
3 - 2
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 3
GUI
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
13%
20%
68%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |