Bloemfontein Celtic vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BLO
0 - 1
MAR
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
BLO
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
BLO
48%
29%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 0
PIR
29%
29%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 2
BLO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 3
SUN
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 0
MPU
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +4 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 0
HOR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MPU
1 - 0
SUN
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |