Blô-Weiss Medernach vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
81.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blô-Weiss Medernach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BWM
3 - 0
ATE
30%
23%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MON
5 - 0
BWM
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BWM
0 - 0
UME
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
YBW
2 - 1
BWM
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
KAE
4 - 1
BWM
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
FOL
22%
22%
56%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
LXC
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 2
FOL
9%
17%
73%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
SWI
47%
23%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UNA
2 - 2
FOL
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |