Bleiburg vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 3
BLE
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BLE
2 - 2
WAC
46%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
BLE
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BLE
2 - 1
MIC
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 4
BLE
12%
19%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
WAC
1 - 1
UMA
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UMA
0 - 0
MIC
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 0
UMA
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UMA
1 - 0
FEL
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SVV
0 - 0
UMA
76%
15%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |