Bleiburg vs St. Jakob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
11º
22
5º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
DIG
0 - 2
BLE
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BLE
4 - 6
VOL
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 1
BLE
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
DON
1 - 0
BLE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BLE
1 - 0
KLA
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Jakob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
SVJ
1 - 1
KMD
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
AUK
1 - 1
SVJ
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SVJ
1 - 3
ATV
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FLC
3 - 1
SVJ
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SVJ
0 - 4
SPI
21%
20%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |