Bleiburg vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 6
BLE
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BLE
2 - 1
SPI
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BLE
0 - 0
KUH
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
KMD
3 - 1
BLE
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 1
GMD
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
KLA
3 - 1
MIC
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 2
FEL
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
MIC
66%
21%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
MIC
3 - 4
FLC
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |