Bleiburg vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SVP
0 - 4
BLE
12%
19%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BLE
4 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
BLE
1 - 1
FEL
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 1
BLE
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 3
BLE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
4 - 1
MIC
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 2
FEL
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVV
4 - 1
MIC
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SKA
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 2
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |