Bleiburg vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
BLE
0 - 2
WAC
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
BLE
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BLE
0 - 1
DRA
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RAP
0 - 0
BLE
53%
23%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
BLE
0 - 0
EAC
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FLC
3 - 2
EAC
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
FLC
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
FLC
3 - 4
FEL
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 4
FLC
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FLC
0 - 1
WOL
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |