Bled Hirter vs Šencur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bled Hirter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BHI
3 - 0
SLE
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BHI
1 - 2
KOM
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 1
BHI
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
RUD
1 - 1
BHI
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BHI
2 - 0
ZIR
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Šencur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
SEN
1 - 2
BRA
36%
24%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SEN
3 - 2
NKV
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DRA
6 - 4
SEN
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 2
AHM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |