Blauw Wit .34 vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
43
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Wit .34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 0
DRA
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 3
BRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 4
BLA
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TFE
0 - 1
BLA
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 1
ONS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 1
WIN
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
DRA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
PEL
19%
20%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
4 - 2
HOO
35%
22%
44%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |