Blauw Wit .34 vs Leeuwarder Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
27
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Wit .34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TFE
0 - 1
BLA
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
4 - 1
BLA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 1
PKC
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
0 - 1
BLA
39%
21%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
BLA
10%
14%
76%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Leeuwarder Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEE
1 - 0
ONS
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEE
1 - 0
PEL
13%
18%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEE
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 1
VVG
65%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 1
LEE
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |