Blauw Geel '38 vs DESO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
3 - 1
BLA
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 1
OSS
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 2
DEL
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 5
BLA
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BLA
4 - 1
EHC
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
DESO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
IFC
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DES
0 - 4
GES
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
DES
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DOS
2 - 0
DES
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
45%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |