Blagnac vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
73.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOU
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BLA
0 - 0
ARP
64%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AVI
1 - 0
BLA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BLA
1 - 2
TOF
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LSS
1 - 0
BLA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MON
3 - 4
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 1
MON
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
SOC
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 1
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
LMU
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |