Blagnac vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
BLA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 3
CLE
8%
19%
73%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 2
NIO
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
BLA
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
LIM
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |