Blagnac vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BLA
3 - 3
VIL
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LES
2 - 2
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAL
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 1
BLA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
BAY
26%
27%
47%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUR
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 4
LES
24%
25%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |