Blagnac vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 0
SAG
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAI
2 - 1
BLA
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 0
TOU
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 1
TRE
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
STA
0 - 1
BLA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
AST
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
38%
27%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 0
SAI
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TOU
2 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
10%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TRE
6 - 2
BAS
71%
19%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |