Blagnac vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
BLA
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 1
SAI
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARP
2 - 3
BLA
29%
25%
45%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
TOU
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |