Blagnac vs Bayonne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AST
2 - 1
BLA
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 1
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 1
FCT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
BLA
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 3
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LSS
2 - 0
AVI
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 3
POI
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ARP
1 - 1
AVI
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |