Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
NWC
2 - 0
BDG
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
CCF
2 - 1
BDG
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BDG
5 - 1
GOY
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 0
BDG
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 1
BDG
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PON
0 - 0
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 0
CWM
23%
20%
57%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
LLA
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
4 - 0
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |