Baglan Dragons vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
BDG
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 2
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
BDG
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
BDG
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BDG
4 - 1
TRE
19%
19%
63%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 3
CWM
59%
20%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 4
CAM
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LLA
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
BDG
87%
9%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |