FA Cup Previa 1
Global 5-4
Blackfield & Langley vs Oldland Abbotonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackfield & Langley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
BLA
14%
16%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 3
BLA
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 2
PAG
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 3
BMR
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
HYD
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oldland Abbotonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
BLA
14%
16%
70%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 0
OLD
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 2
SAL
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
2 - 3
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |