BKV Előre vs Csepel TC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+364%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
13º
13º
29
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
54% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 28 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKV Előre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BKV
1 - 5
GYI
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BKV
2 - 3
VSE
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TIS
3 - 0
BKV
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BKV
1 - 1
DAB
74%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BKV
5 - 0
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Csepel TC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CGF
5 - 3
HOD
13%
18%
70%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CGF
1 - 2
SZE
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CGF
8 - 0
TOP
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |