BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
BKM
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
BKM
0 - 6
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
BKM
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 2
NOA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 0
BAN
30%
25%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 2
VAN
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 1
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 1
PYU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 0
AVA
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |