BKMA II vs Pyunik II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
42
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
4 - 3
LAR
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
BKM
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 4
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 4
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
GAN
31%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 1
PYU
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 2
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 4
PYU
25%
22%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
4 - 1
ARA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |