BKMA II vs FC Syunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
33
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
BKM
12%
18%
71%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
BKM
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
3 - 1
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
BKM
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FC Syunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 4
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
BKM
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 0
SYU
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 0
BAN
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |