Bjelovar vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ORI
2 - 0
BJE
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BJE
3 - 2
MEI
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BJE
2 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NKS
2 - 0
BJE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BJE
4 - 0
ZAG
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +3 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 2
NKS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BED
1 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
NKV
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SLA
0 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BIJ
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |