Bjarg vs Stord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
29.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
10º
3º
39
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 3
BJA
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BJA
7 - 5
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SJI
1 - 6
BJA
47%
22%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
BJA
2 - 3
FAN
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BJA
4 - 1
FYL
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Stord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 0
VIK
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 2
LIL
96%
3%
1%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
STO
1 - 3
HAU
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BIL
0 - 4
STO
20%
18%
62%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
SAN
59%
18%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |