Bjarg vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OIL
0 - 4
BJA
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BJA
2 - 1
ILG
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BJA
1 - 3
LYS
12%
17%
71%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 2
BJA
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BJA
2 - 1
OIL
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
VAR
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 3
BRA
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 3
NES
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LYN
1 - 3
BRA
17%
18%
65%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARN
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |