Bjarg vs Austevoll analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjarg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
TTI
4 - 1
BJA
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
BJA
3 - 1
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 1
BJA
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BJA
4 - 0
STO
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
BJA
1 - 2
BBS
5%
10%
85%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Austevoll
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
AIK
32%
23%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AIK
2 - 4
TTI
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 3
AIK
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
AIK
4 - 0
KIL
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AIK
2 - 2
NES
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |