USD Bitonto vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 1
USB
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MOL
3 - 3
USB
27%
25%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
TAR
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FIA
1 - 1
USB
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
USB
14%
22%
63%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
SOR
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASF
2 - 2
VIR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
4 - 0
POR
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIR
11%
17%
71%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |