Bistra vs Sava Strmec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
16º
14º
44
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bistra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 6
LOK
4%
11%
86%
|
32 | 74 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NUK
0 - 1
BIS
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 3
LKV
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAS
2 - 1
BIS
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
NMP
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sava Strmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 5
KAR
9%
17%
74%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
5 - 0
STR
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 6
LUK
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VRB
1 - 1
STR
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
VRA
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +2 |